ISDN isn’t inevitable because the phone companies haven’t been able to make it inevitable. I think 14.4 and 28.8 [modem speeds] are sufficient for some that things you want to do, and they are a practical constraint right now. I think all of us just can wait to be delivering 10 Mbit/s. You won’t have any multimedia problems then.
Predictor: Andreessen, Marc
Prediction, in context:The following comes from an August 1995 interview between Marc Andreessen and Barry Phillips. Andreessen says:”ISDN isn’t inevitable because the phone companies haven’t been able to make it inevitable. I think 14.4 and 28.8 [modem speeds] are sufficient for some that things you want to do, and they are a practical constraint right now. I think all of us just can wait to be delivering 10 Mbit/s. You won’t have any multimedia problems then.”
Biography:Marc Andreessen worked with Eric Bina at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois in 1992, to develop a browser that would be usable on any computer, easy to use and graphically rich. In 1993, their browser, Mosaic, completely changed the face of the Internet it allowed HTML “image” tags which make it so text and art can appear on the same page; it allowed easy text scrolling; and it introduced hyperlinks, allowing users to simply click on an area of the screen to go to another document on the Internet. In1994, Mosaic was developed and marketed; the product eventually was named Netscape. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: August 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Communication
Subtopic: Internet Telephony
Title, headline, chapter name: Interview: Marc Andreessen
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Allen, Patrick J.
